WDP:EURONEXT BRUSSELSWarehouses De Pauw SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time
€83.49
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, signaling a bearish backdrop, while the RSI sits around the mid‑40s, indicating limited upside momentum. MACD shows a modest bullish histogram despite both lines being negative, and volume has been on the rise, suggesting some buying interest near the current price of €83.49. The technical support sits near €81.16 with resistance around €87.23, and recent price action has hovered just above the support level. Volatility remains elevated at over 30% for the past month, and beta is near 1.4, pointing to heightened market sensitivity.
Fundamentally, Disney delivers steady revenue growth of roughly 6½% and maintains a healthy dividend yield of 1.5% with a low payout ratio, underscoring sustainable cash generation. However, a discounted cash‑flow estimate of about €12.6 per share is far below the market price, flagging a significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value. The company’s leverage is moderate, and profitability metrics (PE near industry average, solid ROE) are respectable, but the high valuation and bearish technical stance temper enthusiasm. Overall, the blend of strong brand fundamentals and short‑term price pressure suggests a cautious stance with a longer‑term upside narrative.
Fundamentally, Disney delivers steady revenue growth of roughly 6½% and maintains a healthy dividend yield of 1.5% with a low payout ratio, underscoring sustainable cash generation. However, a discounted cash‑flow estimate of about €12.6 per share is far below the market price, flagging a significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value. The company’s leverage is moderate, and profitability metrics (PE near industry average, solid ROE) are respectable, but the high valuation and bearish technical stance temper enthusiasm. Overall, the blend of strong brand fundamentals and short‑term price pressure suggests a cautious stance with a longer‑term upside narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages indicating bearish bias
- MACD histogram turning positive with rising volume
- Proximity to technical support at €81.16
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue growth and strong cash flow generation
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Current market price significantly above DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- World‑class IP portfolio and diversified entertainment ecosystem
- Growth potential in streaming services and international parks
- Resilient dividend and solid balance sheet despite high leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin11.54%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE11.01%
ROA4.45%
Debt/Equity41.07
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow€15.8B
Free Cash Flow€3.8B
Industry P/E15.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.2
Support€81.16
Resistance€87.23
MA 20€84.89
MA 50€86.44
MA 200€89.97
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.91
Valuation
Fair Value€12.57
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.52%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility31.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.